{"63021":{"#nid":"63021","#data":{"type":"event","title":"Serologic surveillance to monitor infection attack rates and severity of an influenza pandemic in real-time","body":[{"value":"\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cstrong\u003ETITLE: \u003C\/strong\u003ESerologic surveillance to monitor infection attack rates and severity\n\u003Cbr \/\u003Eof an influenza pandemic in real-time\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cstrong\u003ESPEAKER:\u003C\/strong\u003E\u0026nbsp; Professor Joseph Wu\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cstrong\u003EABSTRACT:\u003C\/strong\u003E\u003C\/p\u003E\u003Cp\u003EEarly estimates of transmissibility and severity of an emerging\ninfluenza pandemic is an urgent public health priority. This is\nchallenging because many influenza infections are subclinical.\n\u003Cbr \/\u003EPopulation-based serologic surveillance allows accurate estimates of\ninfection attack rates (IAR) and severity estimates. During 2009, we\ntested more than 17,800 serological specimens in Hong Kong throughout\nthe first wave of the H1N1 pandemic. Using these data we estimated\n\u003Cbr \/\u003Ethat the basic reproductive number was 1.38 and that 0.6% of\ninfections led to hospitalization. We developed a novel statistical\nmethod for real-time serologic surveillance and estimated that about\n1,000 specimens per week would allow accurate estimates of IAR and\nseverity as soon as the true IAR has reached 2%. Serologic monitoring\nshould be considered in updated pandemic plans.\u003C\/p\u003E","summary":null,"format":"limited_html"}],"field_subtitle":"","field_summary":"","field_summary_sentence":[{"value":"Serologic surveillance to monitor infection attack rates and severity of an influenza pandemic in real-time"}],"uid":"27187","created_gmt":"2010-12-02 08:47:49","changed_gmt":"2016-10-08 01:53:32","author":"Anita Race","boilerplate_text":"","field_publication":"","field_article_url":"","field_event_time":{"event_time_start":"2010-12-08T10:00:00-05:00","event_time_end":"2010-12-08T11:00:00-05:00","event_time_end_last":"2010-12-08T11:00:00-05:00","gmt_time_start":"2010-12-08 15:00:00","gmt_time_end":"2010-12-08 16:00:00","gmt_time_end_last":"2010-12-08 16:00:00","rrule":null,"timezone":"America\/New_York"},"extras":[],"groups":[{"id":"1242","name":"School of Industrial and Systems Engineering (ISYE)"}],"categories":[],"keywords":[],"core_research_areas":[],"news_room_topics":[],"event_categories":[],"invited_audience":[],"affiliations":[],"classification":[],"areas_of_expertise":[],"news_and_recent_appearances":[],"phone":[],"contact":[],"email":[],"slides":[],"orientation":[],"userdata":""}}}